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Dublin: 10 °C Sunday 26 May, 2013

Trade surplus falls by 23 per cent in December

Ireland’s seasonally adjusted exports fell by €750m in December 2011, while imports rose to chip away at the trade balance.

Exports of pharmaceuticals were up by 11 per cent in the months of January through November, new CSO figures show.
Exports of pharmaceuticals were up by 11 per cent in the months of January through November, new CSO figures show.
Image: e-MagineArt.com via Flickr

THE VALUE of Irish exports fell by €749 million in December – causing Ireland’s trade surplus to plunge by 23 per cent.

Figures published this morning by the Central Statistics Office showed that the value of Irish exports for the month before last fell to €7,503 million – from €8,252 million in November.

Simultaneously, the value of imports rose by 8.4 per cent (€311 million) to over €4 billion for the first time in four months – meaning that the trade surplus, the excess of exports over imports, fell significantly.

That figure stood at €3,484 million for December – down by over a billion euro from €4,544 million in November.

The figures will come as a blow to Ireland’s efforts at finding an export-led economic recovery – particularly as forecasts expect spending power in Europe to decline in the coming year.

The surge in imports was not unprecedented – a similar spike was recorded in December 2010, indicating that the Christmas shopping season and the onset of the winter sales means a larger volume of foreign goods being sold in Ireland.

The drop in exports, however, is a worry – particularly when exports had actually grown by €261 million in December 2010 when compared to November of that year.

Figures for January to November inclusive showed that exports of medical and pharmaceutical products had increased by 11 per cent compared to the same period of 2010, while dairy exports were up by 26 per cent and meat exports by 15 per cent.

The exports of computer equipment was down by 11 per cent, or €446 million, however.

Ireland’s main export markets in the first 11 months were to the USA (23 per cent), Belgium (15 per cent) and Great Britain (14 per cent). Trade with the USA was up by over €1.1 billion in that period, while trade with both Britain and France was up by €480m each.

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Comments (14 Comments)

  • I wouldn’t be too worried about the month-to-month figures. Ireland has one of the largest trade surpluses in the non-oil-producing world – the issue is about the long-term path of our exports.

    For that, there is a lot of good news (Ireland is to the forefront of countries developing a services export sector) – but the concern would be about blockbuster drugs that Ireland produces and exports coming off patent. This will affect the figures and for a few years.

    Two further caveats: (a) these are preliminary figures and subject to often large revisions, and (b) these figures leave out services, which are – as I hinted above – almost half of our total exports now.

    Reply
    • Ronan I hear what you are saying. But the government are talking up our recovery on the back of an export lead recovery. If we have such a robust export sector why isn’t the unemployment figures reflecting this is some way? I can’t see it nor can the other 450k unemployed people.

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    • Unfortunately unemployment is a lead indicator on the way into a recession and a lag indicator on the way out. That is virtually always the case.

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  • Enda and Gilmore telling us recovery will be export driven based upon this it looks like they will have to re consult the spoofers hand book

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    • Well said John…it goes to show that they in actual fact are talking out of the side of their mouth. They really didn’t expect this drop in exports. This can’t be seen as a blip. This was for one full quarter and its a huge drop. Can someone also tell me if we have or now perhaps had a wonderful export business, why were we not creating jobs at a similar pace? Clearly we can’t create enough jobs in this area.

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    • John, you’re getting very generous with your kindness. Spoofers??? Lackeys for liars and charlatans I’d call them.

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    • Aydo 15/02/12 #

      I expected this. Maybe not to this extent. But how could you expect increased exports when there’s declining economic conditions everywhere. Stupid.

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  • Couldn’t agree more John, this “export led recovery” is a figment of their imagination and today’s figures put some truth to the government lies- a 23% decline in the trade surplus is a crisis but you won’t be hearing any government minister calling a spade a spade, instead they’ll put the overpaid spin doctors into overdrive to come up with classics along the lines of lasts weeks “High-level transitional teams” as a solution to civil servants retiring.

    Austerity is clearly not working, even the dogs in the street know this yet these muppets plan at least another 5 years of austerity budgets. I smell civil unrest, not just yet but it is undoubtedly in the post.

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  • Next budget will be fun based on these figures….

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  • This seems to be at odds with the BS the gov. been spinning. Cue the consultant speak..

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  • The reason Belgium is right up there is because of the pharma sector. Belgium is very strong for finished product in this sector & Ireland is a strong performer in the raw materials for this sector. The distrubution hub for Europe is the NL not Belguim.

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  • terry 15/02/12 #

    Why Belgium ? Anyone

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  • jimbo 15/02/12 #

    great news or what! we are doomed..

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