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The 20 countries with the highest probability of default

Ireland has made the list – unsurprisingly – but where does it rank?

Image: Kostas Tsironis/AP/Press Association Images

AS THE ECONOMIC crisis in Europe continues to flare up, investors holding sovereign debt have had to pay substantially higher rates to insure themselves from default via Credit Default Swaps.

Business Insider compiled data on some 59 countries where investors can buy protection.

The results: issuers of credit default swaps don’t see the US, Germany or Norway defaulting anytime soon.

What follows is a look at the cost to insure $10,000 of ten-year sovereign debt per year.

The 20 countries with the highest probability of default
1 / 20
  • #20: Iceland, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 324.39 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -1.1 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 328.04 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Image by poptech/Flickr/CC
  • #19: Lithuania, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 326.26 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -15.9 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 387.79 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Image by PhillipC/Flickr
  • #18: Bulgaria, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 393.15 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -10.4 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 438.92 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London AP Photo/Valentina Petrova
  • #17: Vietnam, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 393.18 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -13.1 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 452.38 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Image by David McKelvey/Flickr/CC
  • #16: Bahrain, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 396.22 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -6.4 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 423.25 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Hasan Jamali/AP/Press Association Images
  • #15: Dubai, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 430.87 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -9.9 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 478.45 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Kamran Jebreili/AP/Press Association Images
  • #14: Romania, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 467.70 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -0.2 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 468.61 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Vadim Ghirda/AP/Press Association Images
  • #13: Lebanon, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 518.30 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +1.3 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 511.60 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Hussein Malla/AP/Press Association Images
  • #12: Italy, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 522.89 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +5.4 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 496.15 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Marco Vasini/AP/Press Association Images
  • #11: Spain, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 538.00 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +48.2 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 362.94 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Alberto Di Lolli/AP/Press Association Images
  • #10: Croatia, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 563.95 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -1.9 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 574.59 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Image by FotoChronicle/Flickr/CC
  • #9: Hungary, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 608.61 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -5.1 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 641.51 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Bela Szandelszky/AP/Press Association Images
  • #8: Ireland, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 656.23 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +12.1 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 585.20 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Niall Carson/PA Archive/Press Association Images
  • #7: Egypt, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 665.35 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +0.4 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 662.85 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Fredrik Persson/AP/Press Association Images
  • #6: Venezuela, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 829.20 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -8.2 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 902.79 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Ariana Cubillos/AP/Press Association Images
  • #5: Portugal, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 835.72 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -4.1 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 871.82 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Francisco Seco/AP/Press Association Images
  • #4: Ukraine, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 884.81 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +5.7 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 884.81 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Efrem Lukatsky/AP/Press Association Images
  • #3: Cyprus, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 906.16 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: N/A 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): N/A Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Petros Karadjias/AP/Press Association Images
  • #2: Argentina, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 1,183.98 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: +29.6 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 913.36 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Natacha Pisarenko/AP/Press Association Images
  • #1: Greece, Cost To Insure ,000 Sovereign Debt: 7,015.10 bps

    Year-to-Date Change: -12.4 Percent 10-Year CDS Price (1/1/2012): 8,009.18 bps Source: Bloomberg CDS Intraday London Picture by: Kostas Tsironis/AP/Press Association Images

Article by Eric Platt for Business Insider

Published with permission from:

Business Insider
Business Insider is a business site with strong financial, media and tech focus.

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