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The conflict in Iraq could drive oil prices to record highs

The situation in Iraq could drive prices above the previous peak recorded in 2008.

THE CONFLICT IN Iraq could drive oil prices above the record price of $145 per barrel hit in 2008, Bord Gais has warned in its monthly energy price monitor.

The land grab by militant Islamic group ISIL sent oil prices up by 2% during June.

In a statement accompanying the Bord Gais energy index, power trader John Heffernan said that “with global oil demand expected to increase sharply, a complete loss of Iraqi exports would have dramatic consequences for global oil prices”.

It would not be inconceivable for prices to surpass the record high reached in July 2008…with the world having no spare capacity anywhere.

He said that traders were concerned by the nature and scale of the ISIS territorial grab. Globally limited extra production capacity means that a brake on Iraqi oil supplies would result in oil price spikes.

Gas prices remain low

Despite the hike in oil prices caused by the instability in Iraq, the low price of gas meant that wholesale Irish energy prices remained steady for June.

Overall, there was a 12% drop in the average price paid for gas, with UK stocks still very healthily stocked at 82% of capacity after a particularly mild winter led to low demand there.

Ireland sources the majority of its gas from the UK market.

The situation in Ukraine has not yet impacted gas prices, with supplies from Russia still unaffected by the dispute there.

However, Heffernan warned that the conflict in Eastern Europe could still hit Irish energy prices.

“If this dispute continues into the autumn it raises the possibility of the Ukraine siphoning off gas bound for Western Europe to satisfy rising domestic demand.”

Read: Four-year gas price low drives Irish electricity prices down>

Read: The Ukraine crisis isn’t hitting Irish energy bills yet, but here’s how it might>

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30 Comments
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    Mute Kris O Kay Kay
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:38 PM

    The sooner we can source energy either domestically or from more stable markets the better. We are being held to ransom by these lunatics…

    109
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    Mute James Dibble
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:41 PM

    A generator being powered by urine was reported recently – we don’t need their stinking oil – we have our own stinking…..

    24
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    Mute Antonov Merinov
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:10 PM

    Don’t make a war the scape goat for increasing prices.
    The government is solely to blame for Ireland having the 4th highest petrol prices in the WORLD.

    77
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    Mute Sean O'Keeffe
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:41 PM

    Taxes and duty accounts for more than half the retail cost of motor fuel.

    34
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    Mute George Grey
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:47 PM

    Gas prices could rise….oil prices could rise ….Water charges will be introduced….electricity companies threatening inflationary rises. ….gee…another great day on the planet ( LW).

    53
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    Mute commonsense
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:06 PM

    And spoke are being killed in a war aswell…….

    6
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    Mute commonsense
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:07 PM

    #people

    4
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    Mute Dermot Ryan
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    Jul 8th 2014, 1:12 AM

    TURF !

    1
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    Mute Emachine
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:25 PM

    They will use any excuse to raise prices. When the trouble subsides then the price never seems to fall. Then the next time someone says boo to the wrong person the price shoots up again. This ratchet effect has us paying through the nose for fuel.
    Come on fusion. See how many gold Bentleys they roll around in then.

    48
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    Mute Dermot Ryan
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    Jul 7th 2014, 11:58 PM

    American foreign policy is very clear on the matter ; “We fight – everyone else pays !”

    5
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    Mute Colm Flaherty
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:43 PM

    I’m torn.

    On one hand, this will bring needless suffering to motorists and businesses around the world.

    On the other, I’m in Alberta looking for oil work. Demand’s going up. MORE WORK YEEEAAAAHOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

    I’m going to hell aren’t I?

    47
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    Mute Fognostical
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:47 PM

    The Chinese are taking all the oil they can get from Canada so best of luck to you in your quest :-)

    23
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    Mute Fognostical
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:51 PM

    PS Colm, if you really want to go to hell try Kharg Island for your next job.

    10
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    Mute IrishGravyTrain
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:50 PM

    Fill the oil tank now and hope it doesnt get robbed or wait. Decisions to be made.

    25
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    Mute Avina Laaf
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:45 PM

    Fill it now and booby trap it for any scvvmbag who tries to go near it…

    19
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    Mute Fluich It
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:38 PM

    USA will invade if prices go too high.

    24
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    Mute Brian Hicks
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:43 PM

    Buy a clue…US is the largest producer of oil in the world…

    38
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    Mute Shane Walsh
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:46 PM

    This is the fault of the US

    28
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    Mute Fognostical
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:46 PM

    The US will soon be exporting oil and gas [ not legal yet but they need the money]

    12
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    Mute Joe_King
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:00 PM

    The fact the OP has got more green thumbs than red so far, has shown how uninformed your average Journal commenter is

    7
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    Mute Trevor Beale
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    Jul 7th 2014, 6:14 PM

    Any excuse to take more money!!

    20
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    Mute Patrick Linehan
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    Jul 7th 2014, 8:24 PM

    I don’t see why a conflict in Iraq should effect the price of motor fuel here. All petroleum products sold in this country come from Brent North sea, it’s refined in Whitegate, Co. Cork. None of our fuel comes from anywhere near the Middle east.

    10
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    Mute Andrew Matheson
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    Jul 7th 2014, 8:16 PM

    I thought a barrel of oil was fairly low at the moment, just our taxes were high….

    9
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    Mute Paul Roche
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:39 PM

    This should bring an end to the foolishness in the Ukraine.

    9
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    Mute Frank
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:41 PM

    …More like a detraction.

    8
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    Mute Fognostical
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    Jul 7th 2014, 5:56 PM

    Israel has called up the troops as Hamas continues to bombard Southern Israel so hang on to your hats ladies it’s payback time.

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    Mute Mark O Brien
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    Jul 7th 2014, 8:03 PM

    Any excuse to rise the price of oil!!!

    6
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    Mute Catherine Mill
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    Jul 8th 2014, 8:52 AM

    All going to plan then.!

    1
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    Mute Patrick
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    Jul 8th 2014, 12:31 AM

    Th

    1
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    Mute Patrick
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    Jul 8th 2014, 12:34 AM

    This world is a mess. From hunger to uneven distribution of wealth , the destruction of the environment to the corruption of politicians .Its one big sh11ty mess that will just get bigger and bigger .

    3
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