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Dublin: 6 °C Friday 24 May, 2013

Not-so-happy new year: House prices still dropping as January begins

Two new reports show the property market continued its decline right up to the end of 2011, with few signs of an immediate recovery.

Image: Sasko Lazarov/Photocall Ireland

HOUSE PRICES ARE continuing their marathon fall as the new year begins, according to two new reports.

Both sets of figures for the last quarter of 2011 from property websites Daft.ie and MyHome.ie showed multi-point drops in prices. Overall in 2011, house prices fell by at least 13 per cent nationwide and 14.3 per cent in Dublin.

However, there were some significant differences between the two reports. Data from MyHome.ie suggested asking prices were falling less quickly than previously, with a quarterly mix-adjusted drop of 2.4 per cent nationwide – the lowest in two and a half years.

Conversely, Daft.ie figures showed the fastest three-month drop in prices yet recorded – a staggering 7.7 per cent between September and December 2011.The biggest fall was recorded in Galway, where asking prices dropped by more than 14 per cent in just three months.

According to the same data, the average asking price nationwide is now €175,000 – a 52 per cent fall from the 2007 peak of €366,000.

Angela Keegan, managing director of MyHome.ie, said that measures announced in the Budget would help boost confidence and lead to increasing “price stability”.

“Affordability continues to improve all the time,” she said. “A lot of the uncertainty which was out there before the Budget has been removed. Unfortunately uncertainty over the future of the Euro and economic growth remains and this continues to sap consumer confidence.”

However, Daft.ie economist Ronan Lyons said that it was a low number of transactions, rather than prices, which was hampering the property market.

He said Government confidence-boosting measures were “really only whispering in one ear [of the banks], while it’s effectively shouting at banks in the other ear not to lend” with stress tests and enforced low interest rates. He added:

We have to get back to a sustainable lending environment, so that the banks are encouraged to lend at sustainable rates and also a significant amount of mortgages. It’s only when we see that happening that we will see a recovery in activity and also a stabilisation in prices.

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Comments (15 Comments)

  • What do people expect. Prices are not going to go up any time soon. There is just no money. More and more people cant afford to buy and banks taking no chances now in lending. Prices will continue to fall in 2012.

    Reply
  • Daft.ie and myhome can’t possibly know what houses are selling for. They only know what is happening with asking prices.

    They, along with the rest of us, have no visibility on sales prices of houses because they are not publishable in this country, unlike everywhere else. Articles like this are just about ‘asking prices’, while thejournal.ie seems to be implying they mean ‘sales prices’. As anyone who has ever dealt with property knows, there is usually a huge disparity between them, with some property going for more than asking, when they have underpriced to attract attention, and others a lot lot less.

    This is just speculation on the reports from daft and myhome, which are speculating themselves. Chinese whispers effectively.

    The only nugget of useful info from daft.ie is that transactions are at a very low level. The market has locked up. In other words, hardly anyone is buying or selling, so the sample size is too small to make any calls on.

    Reply
  • I wonder what an average home will be worth next year when it will cost approx €5,000 a year to pay
    the taxes
    water charges,
    esb charges,
    service charges,
    and other stealth charges etc
    not to mention upkeep and maintenance costs
    All this before taking into account paying your mortgage?

    Reply
  • These guys issued a report in November stating that we had hit the bottom, 2 months later they give us more doom & gloom . Memo to daft.ie shut the fuck up you know nothing.

    Reply
  • Another negative titled article… This is great news for me and anyone who doesn’t own their home as of yet! Banks have released figures showing that they were only 8% down on issuing mortgages on the previous year so they must be still lending contrary to media speculation! Perhaps the title here should read (Happy New Year: House prices still dropping as January begins)

    Reply
    • Or, and this is probably just a *crazy* idea…. but how about not tilting it either way?

      Why not present some info and let the reader form their own view? :)
      Of course, doing so would likely end up with less viewers, and certainly less comments. But less comments here could be a good thing considering the quality of debate… (irony noted)

      Reply
    • RTE’s title to the same article reads Property prices continue to fall… No positive or negative spin attached, no seed planted!

      Reply
    • @ Daniel Hunt

      Sorry, no. Because that is churnalism. The point of journalism is to provide analysis and read between the lines of the information at hand. The flipside of that is objectivity isn’t possible so you’ll just have to read far and wide to approximate your reality for yourself.

      Reply
    • the media prefer negative headlines to positive ones. its strange to think ppl prefer bad news

      Reply
  • Morning Bertie,
    Enjoying your braeakfast ?????

    Reply
  • It should bottom out when it reaches 75 percent below 07 levels

    Reply
  • its a happy new year if you are hoping to buy a house

    Reply
  • It will benefit ppl buying from abroad and letting them.. Well that’s the only way, no profit in sitting in them..
    If you can’t beat them, you better learn.!!

    Reply
  • think ill launch my own website. thechurnal.ie

    Reply

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