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Dublin: 9 °C Sunday 26 May, 2013

Moody’s downgrades six European countries – and warns of more to come

France and the UK were both warned that they could lose their coveted AAA credit rating.

Image: Eric Skiff via Flickr/Creative Commons

RATINGS AGENCY MOODY’S has downgraded the credit rating of six European countries and put three other countries on negative watch.

Italy, Portugal, Spain, Slovakia, Slovenia and Malta all had their ratings cut by the ratings agency. Five of the six had their ratings cut by one notch while Spain had its rating cut by two.

France, the UK, and Austria all have a higher risk of defaulting on their debts according to the US credit ratings agency, which last night said that all three are at risk of losing their AAA ratings.

Ireland’s BA1 rating from Moody’s remained unchanged.

Moody’s said the eurozone crisis was to blame for the adjustments.

The agency cited “Europe’s increasingly weak macroeconomic prospects” and “the uncertainty over the euro area’s prospects for institutional reform of its fiscal and economic framework” as two of the main drivers of last night’s actions.

The negative outlook for France and the UK means that the ratings agency believes there is a 30 per cent chance the countries will see a downgrade in their credit ratings within the next year and a half.

Separately, two other credit ratings agencies  announced downgrades to a number of Spanish banks last night.

Fitch downgraded the credit rating of four of the country’s biggest banks, while Standard & Poor’s said it was downgrading 15 financial institutions based in Spain.

Two ratings agencies downgrade Spanish banks >

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Comments (15 Comments)

  • Even though I think these ratings agencies are the biggest waste of resources on the planet, there’s something seriously wrong here. Every time the markets in Europe turn towards the positive another rating agency comes out with a Europe-wide downgrade. Someone out there (and not just European politicians) doesn’t want to see Europe recover and one has to wonder why.

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  • Since these are the guys who continually said our economy was the best in the world when it was based on the biggest property bubble in history, why does anyone listen to them?

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    • Neil 14/02/12 #

      Unfortunately lenders need to listen to someone somewhere to gauge the risk of lending to a particular country. And unfortunately for us we´ll be borrowing billions for a long time to come given our huge primary budget deficit. So we´ll be jumping to their tune for the forseeable…

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    • Lamb 14/02/12 #

      China have a similar bubble in the making. They are a bit like Germany in that they are a mass producer. They sell a massive amount to Europe and the US who are spending less, slowing Chinas exports at a very noticable level. On the other side then they are spending massive amount on a property boom building several massive skyscrapers on the back of ‘cheap credit’. Bertie must have sold them his recipe for disaster

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    • @Neil: I understand that lenders need to listen to someone to gauge credit worthiness, my question is why do they continue to listen to these ratings agencies when they have all proved themselves incompetent at their jobs. None of them correctly predicted what many independent economists had been forecasting about the financial troubles worldwide. They just seem to follow as opposed to actually looking at history to learn and then making predictions. With Ireland they just seemed to assume that if house prices rose at 20% one year then surely that most go on forever, right?

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  • The timing, right after Greece approves austirity cuts, means they are not even trying to hide their agenda. I am not sure of the motive but they are clearly bent on an unstable euro remaining so.

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  • Moody’s we are not in the mood for you today after all you are a nobody as in the past you gave AAA+ ratings to rogue Companies and States who were insolvent ! So crawl back under the rock you came from !

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  • Its a wonder anyone listens to these sheisters. Such a load of clap trap. None of this is real.

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  • Almost six months into a full recovery but seven years since the start of the worst recession since the 1930s and Moody’s downgrades a few banks. In six years time they will probably tell us that there might be a recovery.

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  • When they say France will default, do they mean French banks or French soverign or both?
    Funny how quick it could happen given how protracted Greece has been.
    France is meant to have a high exposure to Greek debt so looks like the can is coming to the end of the road.

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  • Have to agree with you on that one Tom.

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