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Dublin: 14 °C Monday 20 May, 2013

Irish economy shrank by 1.9 per cent in third quarter

Striking new figures from the Central Statistics Office show that the economy took a major hit between July and September.

Image: Mark Stedman/Photocall Ireland

THE IRISH ECONOMY shrank dramatically in the third quarter of 2011, striking new figures from the Central Statistics Office have shown – with Ireland once again the worst-performing economy in the European Union.

Gross Domestic Product – the total value of all goods and services produced – fell by 1.9 per cent in the three months from July to September.

Meanwhile, Gross National Product – the value of all services supplied by Irish residents, which is considered by some to be a more accurate barometer of economic performance – fell by 2.2 per cent.

The shrinkage in GDP is the worst since the first quarter of 2009, and reverses the trend set in the first two quarters of this year when the economy grew by 1.8 and 1.4 per cent.

On an annualised basis, the economy is still growing, but only by a modest rate of 0.5 per cent – a significant dive on the stats from earlier this year.

Building and construction has performed worst in the last year, with the value of output falling by over 20 per cent, while public administration and defence output has fallen by 4 per cent.

Agricultural, forestry and fishing output is up by 15 per cent on last year, though that sector also took a significant hit in the last quarter.

The news comes a day after preliminary data for October showed that Ireland’s trade surplus – the amount by which the value of exports exceeds imports – had fallen by 11 per cent in October.

Stats produced by Eurostat earlier this month showed that economic growth in the 27 European Union member states had fallen to an average of 0.3 per cent in the third quarter, with growth in the eurozone at just 0.2 per cent.

Ireland had the worst-performing economy in the EU in the third quarter – a drastic turnaround form the second quarter, when it had the second-highest rate of growth.

The combined statistics paint a bleak picture for the economy’s short-term prospects, and will be a major blow to the government as it sets about cutting public spending further next year.

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Comments (32 Comments)

  • What do they expect??? Mass Austerity & Mass Hyperinflation on the people, and yet this is news!!! This what happens to a country when dictated from outside, cuts, taxes, more cuts, more taxes etc. This beggers belief!!

    Reply
    • Where’s the evidence of hyperinflation?! Inflation might actually allow us grow out of the debt, the ECB prints money, inflation, by comparison our debt shrinks but ze Germans aren’t gonna let that happen.

      Reply
    • So in response to re-entering recession in Q4, will the government:
      - veto any eu deal which does not contain cast iron protection to corporate tax base/rate?
      - veto any eu deal which does not lift the burden of the Anglo promissory notes and use the savings to invest in capital spending?
      - reverse the targeting of austerity on the middle and lower income earners who spend their money here?
      - tear up the Croke Park agreement and renegotiate pay and conditions of all who are paid by the State?
      - just pray for exporters, have another ‘aul jobs budget and sit tight?

      Reply
    • Chris 16/12/11 #

      Hyperinflation!!!?? You clearly dont know what your talking about….

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_inflation_rate

      Reply
  • Everything goes down In economy but the government still protect greedy landlords rights to demand Celtic tiger rents.
    When will the gombeen politicians learn how to protect home grown jobs?

    Reply
  • @ciaran . “print more”, with an economic master plan like that may I suggest you seek employment with the treasury of Zimbabwe. That’s exactly what Mugabe did to solve economic and social discourse. When the people want a pay rise he just printed bucket loads and gave it to them to keep them happy. The guy proclaimed himself a genius ……. That’s until the same people went to buy a loaf of bread and were shocked to find out a watch was cheaper. Old gold reserves and bonds are a measure of actual wealth. If the case were different every country would just print loads of cash and hand it out willy nilly. Oh if it was only that simple !

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  • Its the age of austerity. Get used 2 it cause they ain’t changin their plan.

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  • Even new liberal economist saying that you can tax your way out of a recession . For this famine that comes “galloping” there will be no “Brits” to point the finger!

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  • I always remember there was an episode of Duck Tales that explained why printing money does not work.

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  • Yeah I know it’s over simplifying and I knew I’d get a lot of people with a brainer than thou attitude however the world economy needs a stimulus to kickstart . I’m not saying to hand it out like confetti and if the world banks were to agree to it how can It drive up inflation as it would Be worldwide therefore no currency could be devalued more than any other .it’s all about confidence at present everyone has a what we have we hold attitude .

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  • I would like to clearly point out what is obvious to anyone who does not have their head completely buried in the sand. Let me say this quite clearly, we are at War. Our Sovereignty is being challenged by a conglomerate of international bankers who are intent on taking over the governance and assets of our country. We are not going to be able to repay our crippling debts. Default is inevitable. I consider our governments current stance as tantamount to treason and that they are further attempting to subvert democracy by implementing treaty changes without a referendum is nothing short of scandalous. We are in a State of Emergency yet as far as I am aware, the Government has done nothing to guarantee our self-sufficiency in the event of further crisis. Our dependence on international imports of food and cash have led to the loss of our sovereign independence. When we live in such a rich and fertile country, this seems to me both irresponsible, sad and a really wasted opportunity to create a better future for Ireland. I would encourage everyone to support local producers, both this Christmas when buying gifts, and in an everyday way when it comes to buying vegetables and food.

    We need to ensure that local producers survive as our future may yet depend on them.

    Reply
  • Firstly the gold standard is gone so there is nothing to back your currency other than sentiment and confidence.
    Secondly the printing of money simply creates inflation. In other words the austerity measures become worse because your income is devalued. Does anyone believe that Employers or Social Welfare will increase wages or benefits in the face of worsening inflation.
    Let’s get real please.

    Reply
  • Amazing scenes.

    Slashing for growth is like fucking for virginity.

    Reply
  • One quarters figures is a not a trend.

    Reply
  • Fantastic!another reason to get up in the morning!

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  • Ok so let’s face it the problem is a shortage of money in the eurozone and indeed worldwide . We talk about a shortage of money the same way as if it were rainfall or oil or something . The thing that strikes me is that MONEY IS MAN MADE and if we have a world shortage we should print more . Forget about these laws that were set in the stone age about each country must have reserves in gold to represent each unit of currency. Times have changed money changes hands from country to country so much quicker now we need to shift some laws to the history books . I say get those minting machines operating again and let’s all get back to normal prosperity.

    Reply
  • Cpm 16/12/11 #

    Very sensationalist photo. Sad to see this sort of journalism.

    Reply
    • wtf is wrong with the photo?

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    • The original photo (of street traders in front of a particularly dilapidated shopfront) was a stop-gap to get the piece up quickly – it’s been replaced with something a bit more demure now.

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    • Cpm 16/12/11 #

      @Obligpic – Using a street scene that looks like something from the third-world, for an article about a 1.9% fall in the economy is sensationalism. That street scene is not an accurate reflection of a typical Irish street., it’s an extreme example of urban decay, and you could easily find the likes on any run down inner city street at the height of the celtic tiger.

      Reply
    • Pat Ryan 16/12/11 #

      If you could easily find the likes on any run down inner city street doesn’t that make it typical of a run down inner city street? Hardly sensationalist in my view.

      And at least it is a picture of an inner city street in Dublin (Tara Street I believe).

      Reply
    • Cpm 16/12/11 #

      @ Pat Ryan – Sensationalist in relation to its use in the article

      Reply
  • And what is the impact on government’s budgetary projections which have been relying on growth which somehow always undershoots the government’s assumptions? It’s more tax and cuts down the road.

    Reply

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