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Dublin: 13 °C Wednesday 22 May, 2013

Greece’s budget deficit for 2012 is already €1bn bigger than expected

Greece expected its income for January to be 8.9 per cent higher than last year. It actually fell… by 7 per cent.

Greece's finance minister Evangelos Venizelos: Greece's budget deficit for January was €1 billion larger than anticipated, and is likely to get worse.
Greece's finance minister Evangelos Venizelos: Greece's budget deficit for January was €1 billion larger than anticipated, and is likely to get worse.
Image: Dimitri Messinis/AP

THE GREEK GOVERNMENT has announced that its income for the first month of the year was €1 billion lower than expected.

Greek news site Ekathimerini reports that data published by the Ministry of Finance this morning showed that the government’s revenues for January were down by 7 per cent on the same period last year.

That contrasts with Budget projections which had anticipated an 8.9 per cent increase on last year’s income – leaving a gap of €1 billion more than the budget had expected.

The Budget, presented by the cabinet of technocrat prime minister Lucas Papademos in November, had actually projected a surplus for the year – but that achievement now seems particularly unlikely.

A breakdown of government revenue showed that VAT receives were down by 18.7 per cent from last year – firmly indicating that the country’s ongoing financial crisis is having a drastic effect on spending by the public.

That spending power is likely to wane even further, with the parliament having ratified a severe new austerity deal on Sunday which cuts the country’s minimum wage by a fifth.

The figures meant the hypothetical cost of borrowing for Greece – which is not borrowing on open markets because of its EU-IMF arrangements – surged to yet another record high.

If Greece was borrowing from the open markets, it would pay an annual interest rate of 207.4 per cent – while Germany, the eurozone’s benchmark economy, would pay less than 0.25 per cent.

Read: Stocks rise on news of Greek parliament’s approval of austerity measures

More: Greece cannot become a ‘bottomless pit’ – Germany

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Comments (41 Comments)

  • Why can’t we all just get a long.

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  • I see that in theory if Greece was borrowing on the open market it would be paying an annual interest rate of 207.4 per cent. That would suggest to me that the markets do not think the EU/ECB/IMF austerity programmes are going to fix the problem. Judging from the 1 billion short fall from the budget figures in 1 month I’m not surprised they take that view. Additional austerity measures are now going to be brought forward which will cut the Greek consumers buying power, more people are going to be left go from the public services. As domestic spending decreases more people working in the private sector will also find themselves unemployed. This leading to yet another short fall in government income. Which will result in another austerity programme. At what time does repeating the same failed policy no longer work?

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  • Note to Kenny – Austerity doesn’t work and won’t work here either but I suspect he already knows that. Doesn’t matter when you’re not personally affected.

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    • Spending money you don’t have, can’t borrow, or won’t be able to pay back even if you can borrow doesn’t work either.

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    • Neil 14/02/12 #

      Again we´ll ask the key question: the Irish government is spending 10bn more on PS pay, SW and capital spending than it takes in in taxes. That´s all being covered by borrowing from the troika.

      And you want us to increase that deficit?

      Cutting taxes and increasing spending would be great. Not borrowing money from the troika or bond markets and thereby being subject to their whims would be great.

      But where does the money come from then?

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    • So the path we’re on is working? If you can see a light at the end of that tunnel please let us all know, because I can’t.
      More austerity is not going to grow the economy, while our most talented are leaving in droves.

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    • Well Rommel, many people have being saying for years that austerity would cause Ireland to go into a deflation death spiral. This clearly hasn’t happened. In fact, what is extraordinary is the general resilience of the economy to all the austerity that has been inflicted on it.

      We are getting our finances in order and moving towards living within our means.

      The most important thing about living within our means is that it will enable us to regain our economic sovereignty.

      The only alternative to this austerity is that we unilaterally opt to default. This is such an unpalatable option that the Greeks are taking austerity way worse than ours to avoid it. Default would mean austerity like nothing we have seen or even contemplated before.

      There are no other coherent alternatives.

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    • Neil 14/02/12 #

      @Rommel
      Again, the question is where is the money coming from? The government is already borrowing heavily to fund the existing day to day expenditure on PS pay and SW. Where´s the extra money coming from to increase that expenditure even further?

      Some will say the answer is to just print more money. But even if we could do that, then all you´re doing is decreasing the money to the PS and SW in a sly way. You´ll pay them the same rate, but it´ll be worth less. It´s still austerity.

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    • Donal,
      I’m afraid I can’t say I share your optimism that we are getting our finances in order and moving towards living within our means. I don’t think the people here will accept ongoing austerity measures while the elites here carry on as before.
      The Greeks are not taking austerity over default, they haven’t been asked!
      We are in a bailout spiral which will lead us nowhere but down the same road as Greece.

      Reply
  • Ciaro 14/02/12 #

    A country, much like a business, needs a mix of investment and cost savings when business is bad.
    Ireland inc. has not made the investment therefore it will fail, just like a business would.
    When this happens, and it will if an austerity path only is followed, I hope all you pro austerity feckers lose everything you own.

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  • Neil. Ireland is also borrowing to pay billions to bondholders of a zombie bank . Also those in power continue to pay themselves and assistants huge salaries with expenses to boot. When you say PS I hope you mean those I have just mentioned .

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    • Neil 14/02/12 #

      @Ann
      Yeah we´re borrowing to pay the banks debts. But we´re borrowing more to pay for PS pay and SW. That´s a fact. You might not like to hear it but it´s the truth.

      And I couldn´t give a damn if all the TDs were paid in chewing gum wrappers. But it´ll do nothing to help us with the fact that the government is spending up to 13bn more on PS pay, SW and capital spending than it gets in taxes. And that´s being handled with ever more borrowing. TDs pay is a tiny tiny fraction of expenditure.

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    • Neil well I think a country that has to borrow money to pay for the financial mismanagement of a bank, that has helped bring this country to its knees ,should set an example by not paying wages that it cannot afford to those who tell us ‘ we are all in this together ‘ As I understand it all the income tax taken in a year is going to pay just the interest on the bailout . Yes I agree we shouldnt be spending more than we take in but without the huge debt the banks have caused this country we wouldnt be in such unsustainable debt.

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    • Neil 14/02/12 #

      Ann, we´re not paying off the interest on anything through income tax. As Ive already said, the taxes the government get in are not even enough to cover PS pay, SW and capital spending!!!
      They´re 10bn plus short.

      The shortfall is being paid for by borrowing money from the troika, as are the debt payments. And don´t think that all our debts are because of the banks. At the moment its something like 70bn bank debt, 110 bn government defict spending.

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    • Sorry Neil but cant totally agree with you there. The amount taken in income tax in a year is the amount paid on the interest of the bailout as I understand it . And we cannot keep borrowing to pay of debt. Yes the public spending needs to cut but it needs to start at the top and work down not the other way round. I happen to think this country has a lot going for it and just needs the right people running it But I suppose you could say that about a lot of EU countries at the moment.

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    • @Neil – you keep referring to PS pay as a problem. I think you might be on to something….

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  • Ah yes ! Austerity, the road to nowhere. I just wonder has Greece Any chance of getting out of there mess? If we keep cutting aren’t we just heading down the same path. If we do need another bailout next year and some economists feel that we will. Won’t our funding masters want more cuts and higher taxes. Seems to me to be a never ending spiral.

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  • We thought we were bad off.
    I really feel sorry for Greece as they will never be able to pay off this debt.
    I am seriously beginning to doubt EU policies and it’s long term consequences.
    Hence my following observation:
    The following comment is not really related to this article but has anyone noticed recently that on motorways they are errecting massive signposts at collossal expense.
    Is this really necessary?
    Is this dictated by the EU?
    Is this paid by the EU?

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    • Have also noticed Micheal there are dozens of new road number signs on back roads being put in recently. Even roads that are mostly potholes ! So they have money to let you know what road you are on when your tracking is thrown out yet again !

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  • 1billion defecit.What did they expect with the slashing of wages,and imposed taxes.Kenny and co,should learn from this and realise austerity wont work.With people losing jobs here daily,wheres all the money going to come from.

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  • Rommel where do you get your Money?

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  • Well said Donal

    Many of these armchair critics believe everyone else owes them a living and the State can keep borrowing to repay its loans or just default and then borrow more!
    Please spare me from the innane stupidity of that view.

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    • I think the only inane people dying to borrow more is your lot Mark. That’s what it’s all about. We’ll pay these debts so we can borrow more. But I agree with you. Government policies are inane.

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  • Let’s get real …..true austerity would arrive when Public Service incomes and Social Welfare payments including pensions were benchmarked to levels below European average.
    If the country’s debt to income ratio is so out of kilter that the armchair critics say we will not recover then the only other choice we have is to massively underspend. Am I missing something or is the suggestion that we try to borrow more even more when nobody will lend to us!
    Investments by the Government in job creating schemes need to simply support innovation and specifically in the GNP side of our economy. For business start ups there should be additional tax breaks on early profit-making linked to employment numbers and special rules governing personal bankruptcy that makes it worthwhile to take risks during a downturn.
    The doomsayers and the whingers should be pushed to one side.
    I have no difficulty with valid criticism but a huge proportion of comment on these pages is damaging to the National interest.

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    • How is it damaging to the National Interest? People are entitled to their opinions even if you don’t agree with them.

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    • Rommel. People can believe in the tooth fairy if they want, that doesn’t effect me or the country. The problem with ill-informed opinions in the political arena is… A. You make bad decisions B. You can convince other people to make bad decisions. You guys are repeatedly asked how we’d run the country if you follow through on what you suggest and you can’t give even a half assed sensible answer. You and your twitter chums are more dangerous to this country than any bondholders.

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    • More dangerous than bondholders? Did that 1.25 billion, paid out a couple of weeks ago pass you by Gary?
      I suppose selling off our state assets is another good idea, now that we can reinvest the proceeds here?
      If you’re looking for threats to this Country you need to look beyond the pages of an opinion website and look at the bad decisions already made and likely to be repeated.

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    • I tell you what Mr Rommel Burke (if that is indeed your real name) if go into the Politics forum on Boards.ie (http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/forumdisplay.php?f=99) where everyone has to prove what they say with evidence I’ll discuss this with you. Otherwise I’ll just assume you’re full of it and you can’t prove it.

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  • Reada I am quite prepared to partly answer your extensive question and then it is your turn but of course Rommel hasn’t answered. Pretty typical of the hand grenade mob…..lob one over the wall and run like hell for cover. His suggestion that the Taoiseach personally introduced austerity measures because they don’t affect him is offensively dishonest given that all the major Parties signed up to the Bail Out conditions in advance of the last election.
    I seriously doubt that Rommel has a memory deficit!
    Reada I am retired and like many people I have had considerable financial losses over the past three years.
    Over to you now.

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    • I have lost a lot of money too Mark and I couldn’t care less. I have great faith in the future and refuse to worry. I see money as a symbol of energy and therefore I suppose it should not be accumulated or stored. It should move freely among all of us.

      I have a job as does my husband and we earn our money. I love paying taxes and I’ve often stated I’m happy to contribute to my country. Not to bail out banks tho.

      Over to you Mark.

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    • Mark, Not that it’s any of your business I work for my money. Nothing wrong with my memory Mark, I remember the “not another cent” pledges given before the last election.
      What I said was that austerity measures do not affect Enda Kenny and I suspect he knows that these measures will not work, unless he has his head totally in the sand that is.

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  • Qwert

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  • I love that bit about zombie banks……….the State of Ireland with the admitted reluctant agreement of the EU Authorities issued a solemn guarantee to underwrite all Banks within the country and the experts on these pages now believe that we can just walk away from such undertakings.
    I’m happy to hear some of you say that you live within your means because I clearly wouldn’t lend you a RED cent with those attitudes.
    For that matter isn’t that the same problem that Ireland Inc has……we are unable to risk reneging on those debts because it could close us down.
    But armchair critics like Rommel who make derogatory comments about our elected leaders is certain he knows better than anyone………….and doesn’t know how to make his point without slandering people he doesn’t even know.

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    • Mark I don’t think I know better than anyone, but that doesn’t mean I have to blindly accept the rubbish we are being fed on a daily basis about how we are all in this together etc.
      As for slander, if saying Enda Kenny isn’t acting in best interests of all the people of this country, then I’m guilty as charged.

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  • Thank you Rommel for asking the question as why negativity may be damaging to the National interest.
    The one thing that will bring a resounding yes from economists is the idea that sentiment is more important than anything else real or unreal. Watch what happens economically when a country wins the World Cup for soccer……..boom it explodes!
    Now consider what might happen when whining complaining and criticizing behaviors take the upper hand……………………!
    We don’t have to have a consensus we just need to be positive and give things a chance?

    Reply

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