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Dublin: 19 °C Wednesday 19 June, 2013

Even Germany’s cost of borrowing is beginning to rise again

Although Germany’s bond yields are still far lower than a year ago, it’s been rising sharply in the last few days…

GERMANY’S STATUS as a save haven for investors in the midst of the eurozone deb crisis appears to be wilting somewhat.

The cost to the German government of taking out a 10-year loan has shot up in recent days – and has taken a serious spike since yesterday.

The government would have been asked to pay 1.127 per cent annual interest on a 10-year loan if it was borrowing on June 1, the day the result of Ireland’s Fiscal Compact referendum was announced.

Since then, however, the costs have risen steadily – and this morning stood at over 1.5 per cent for the first time in around a month.

The costs remain relatively low, with Germany still largely being seen as robust enough to withstand the shock of a collapse in the eurozone.

Indeed, the costs have reached a historic low on June 1, finding a level not seen before – as investors opted to take a modest, below-inflation return for their investments on the premise that they would, at least, get their investment back at the end.

This morning new figures in Germany showed that inflation there had fallen to 1.9 per cent in the twelve months to May – the first time since December 2010 that it’s been below the 2 per cent level considered ‘ideal’ by Germany and the ECB.

Euro crisis: Spain’s cost of borrowing rockets as Lagarde warns of ‘race against time’

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Comments (11 Comments)

  • It is the Germans who are bust in all this. They lent irresponsible amounts to irresponsible borrowers. To say this out loud with just remove any legitimacy of other lenders to continue lending to us (via the various mechanism) and to the Germans themselves. It’s all going to catch up in the end though. I’m sure there’s a mathematical formula somewhere to say that the current policy will work, I only hope they made sure there’s actually enough money on the planet that’s represented by one of those graphs.

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  • That keeps going and it really is end game..

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  • That would be one possible solution. Germany’s strong mark would drive up their costs making them uncompetitive. It would allow us pigs to partially devalue which would help. You need to remember though that the goal of a European government is to the fore with Merkel, Prodi, Barossa, Legarde etc. Enda is oblivious to this it seems.

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    • Or he just refuses to debate the issues with them and is just relying on Labour and FF as usual.

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    • It all depends on where the mark would float in the world currency market. From what I gather anyone leaving the euro would have some original currency devaluation so the german competiveness equilibrium should remain. The vast sums of money owed to them would increase in real terms, so potentially they would be better off? The point is Germany is painted as the euro moral high ground and voice of reason. I realise that they have no reason to leave as the project architect but by god if the other hapless buggers, inc Edna the NY Times girly leader doesnt gang up on the Gerry’s it’s game over.

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  • Hopefully we’ll see the pfenning drop with frau merkel now that her plans for domination could backfire severely, as with german chancellors before her.

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  • Maybe the financial people are starting to work out the true extent of bailing out corrupt politicians in Europe.

    There are plenty of small countries standing in line to get bailout out and Germany can’t afford them all.

    If Italy joins the group then the melt down will be complete.

    I suppose you could question would be how much has Germany over extended?

    Have they done the maths properly?

    Time will tell.

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  • I’ve got the most radical idea ever, why doest Germany leave the Euro!!!!! Everything is ” ideal” there, they can stand alone and it would allow the balance of the EU countries to collectively fix the Euro?

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    • They won’t do that because if they do they are screwed economically… They rely on the poor economies of Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain to keep the Euro low, which in turn boosts their exports on the back of the cheap currency. It is in Gemany’s favour that it leaves the Euro in a crisis state because their’s is the only economy that gains from it. They win both ends… They lent money to others when it was cheap and made money… They lent more money to distressed countries and massive interest rates now… they control the ECB and the European Parliament and through this controll supress the European economy at large and hence cost of the Euro. The Fourth Reich in effect without a penny spent on ammunition… I would say bloodless but with all the riots across Europe it’s not and yet again the Germans are to blame.

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  • *would* Bloody phone :-)

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  • Stability!

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