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Dublin: 13 °C Saturday 25 May, 2013

Euro jitters and Budget 2012 dull consumers’ moods

The KBC/ESRI index has shown that Irish consumer sentiment fell considerably in December.

Image: Sasko Lazarov/Photocall Ireland

IRISH CONSUMER SENTIMENT fell dramatically in December as increased uncertainty about the euro and Budget 2012 dampened the holiday spirit.

THE KBC/ESRI Consumer Sentiment Index also revealed that people fear a sustained squeeze on household spending power in the coming years.

The index fell from 60.1 in November to 49.2 last month, the largest monthly drop since August 2001.

“The fall in consumer sentiment in December takes the index back to where it was at the start of the year,” said David Duffy of the ESRI.

In December, consumers were primarily worried about the outlook for their household finances and the outlook for the economy over the next 12 months.”

The decline in consumer’s perceptions of current conditions fell from 80.1 in November to 74.2 in December.

December’s figures come after an “abnormally large” rise in October.

“Such sharp gyrations are extremely unusual in the sentiment survey,” read the report. “Two extremely large and opposite changes within three months suggests something out of the ordinary is happening.”

Although this could be explained from sampling issues, the conductors of the survey could not find any technical issues and said another possible reason is that the volatility in the survey directly reflects the uncertainty facing Irish consumers.

Commenting on the large swings, Austin Hughes of KBC said:

During the December survey period, the very existence of the Euro appeared in doubt.  In addition, as a wide range of spending cuts, tax increases and new charges introduced in Budget 2012 were debated, the prospect of declining spending power for the next couple of years likely unnerved many.

It will probably take at least another couple of months before consumers can decide whether the fears they signalled in the December sentiment survey prove to be exaggerated or become a painful reality.”

Read: Retailers pessimistic about 2012, says IBEC>

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Comments (7 Comments)

  • “Something out of the ordinary is happening !” People dont have money to spend and will have less as time goes on . Its simple enough.

    Reply
  • Er… survey taken immediately after the Budget. I think most of us could have predicted this one. The meaningful survey will be the March one when we have experienced the fact and forgotten the hype.

    Reply
  • My wages are the same for the last 3 years prices and taxs have gone through the roof.Further new charges and taxes coming.I know my sentiment is down.When i do spend i look for the best value i can and quite often is that is over the border in Enniskillen.

    Reply
  • 2 months of scaremongering by the government and increasing indirect taxes and charges at a time of the year when people would normally spend. Don’t know how the retail sector tolerate it and what gobshite came up with the idea of having the budget a week before Xmas. Perhaps if the government announce all the bad news in October this year and let people enjoy the Xmas, the VAT Receipts might increase.

    Reply
  • How can people spend when their pay is reduced and others loose their jobs !

    Reply
  • she’s going down baby! I’ll have to write a thesis on how to ruin a country using Keynesian economics!

    Reply
  • jimbo 09/01/12 #

    What do they expect? US irish to be jumping for joy with all these stupid taxes and stealth taxes,every day there is something new ffs.

    Reply

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