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Dublin: 10 °C Tuesday 21 May, 2013

If the EU were one country, it would be breaking its own budget rules

New Eurostat figures show the EU as a whole ran a budget deficit of 4.7pc of its GDP – €180 billion above its limit.

Image: Geert Vanden Wijngaert/AP

NEW EU FIGURES show that if the 27-member European Union was treated as a single country, its government spending for 2011 would be well in breach of its own limits for budget deficits.

Figures produced by the EU’s statistics body Eurostat showed that the government deficits of each of the 27 member states, when aggregated together, stood at almost €561 billion for the 2011 calendar year.

Although the EU’s GDP – the total value of all goods and services produced within it – stood at €12.65 trillion, a new record, the budget deficit was the equivalent of 4.4 per cent of the GDP.

This is well clear of the 3 per cent limit imposed by the EU on its member states; any countries that go beyond this are required to enter an ‘excessive deficit procedure’ where they commit to measures which would bring them back under the limit.

The €561 billion deficit, in fact, is a full €180 billion above that limit of 3 per cent.

The over-run is slightly lessened if only the 17 Eurozone member states are included: their aggregated deficit, of €391 billion, is 4.1 per cent of their total GDP which stands at just over €9.4 trillion.

17 of the 27 member states exceeded the 3 per cent limit last year, of which Ireland’s – at 13.4 per cent – was the highest. This, however, can be revised down to 8.4 per cent because the deficit includes the cost of saving the banks, which Eurostat allows to be excluded.

The next worst countries were Greece and Spain, where the deficit stood at 9.4 per cent of GDP. Then follows the UK, where the deficit stood at 7.8 per cent.

Only three of the 27 EU member states ran budget surpluses last year: Hungary (4.3 per cent of GDP), Estonia (1.1 per cent) and Sweden (0.4 per cent).

The total Eurozone as a whole carries debts equivalent to 87.3 per cent of its GDP, again significantly higher than the 60 per cent limit defined in the Fiscal Compact ratified by each Eurozone country earlier this year. 14 of the 27 members exceed the 60 per cent limit.

Ireland’s ratio – at 106.4 per cent of GDP – is the fourth-highest of any EU member; the only states higher are Greece (170.6 per cent of GDP), Italy (120.7 per cent) and Portugal (108.1 per cent).

Rules laid down in EU treaties forbid the European Union’s own institutions from running at a deficit, and require the institutions simply to scale back their spending if they are set to exceed the amounts they receive under the EU’s seven-year Budgets.

The current budget expires at the end of 2013 – and negotiations on its successor are likely to be wrapped up during Ireland’s term as the head of the Council of the EU, the body made up of ministers from each member state.

Read: French president Hollande: Ireland’s bailout is ‘a special case’

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Comments (17 Comments)

  • Should that GDP not be €12.65 trillion?

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  • You forget to mention that the EU itself can not and does not run a budget deficit, as per its treaties!

    Reply
  • Which country was the worst offender I wonder?
    Perhaps, Greece or Portugal.
    No! Try again!
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13366011

    Reply
  • Michael 23/10/12 #

    The EU is bureaucratic and economic nightmare.

    Cheap money has ruined the peripheral countries, all other problems have stemmed from that.

    Van Rompoy and Barosso are incompetent bank clerks. Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

    Reply
  • Damocles 23/10/12 #

    Which countries would have to be removed to bring it back to within its own rules?

    Reply
  • If the EU *were* one country. [/pedantry]

    Reply
  • tom 23/10/12 #

    31% of GDP to bail out banks in 2010 what where FF thinking obviously FG got it handed to them on a plate with promises to burn the bondholder.
    There will never be enough revenue generated through diminishing tax returns and cutbacks.
    Send every member of the Dail to US China and anywhere else to drum up business. Plus we need to address one plane leaving with the best and brightest and another arriving with migrants…
    There so much that could should be done.

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  • But the levels of deficits & accumulated gov debt are not the things that matter in the fiat free floating monetary systems that all of Europe, US & most others have.

    Accumulated debt is rarely if ever paid back – nor does it need to be, as states are +continuous+. (We householders are not, so +we+ must aim to repay in our finite lifetimes.)

    Even where the elites running central bank/treasury fiat issuance currencies pretend they must ‘borrow’ in order to spend for reasons of ideology & narrow self interest, the cost is purely the interest rate which in any sanely designed currency system (ie not the Euro) is considered on a risk free basis.

    That is to say that if Eurozone countries borrowed at interest rates set by UK, US, Japan etc., even with this pretence that borrowing is needed, they would have approx. FOUR TIMES the borrowing capacity & no gov ‘debt crisis’ (really an interest payment sustainability issue) would exist at all.

    What really matters in considering whether a deficit is too high or too low is what the REAL economy is doing:

    - is there high unemployment? A. if yes, deficit is too low – increase deficit to stimulate growth

    - are there any (internal, demand pull) inflation pressures? A. if yes, deficit too high – reduce, or increase taxation in activity sectors affected

    It’s that effing simple. This is termed ‘functional (fiscal) finance’ after economist Abba Lerner (& modern money economists MMT)

    Or running the economy for public purpose – to benefit the many, not the top few percent.

    Sensible +macro+ economics, as opposed to all the household analogy cr@p spouted by ignorant politicians & the various other ‘useful idiots’ of the elites.

    Just as the intial financial crisis was man made by crooks & frauds in the financial sector, the failure to recover since is equally man made. No need for any of it.

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  • All the more reason that we need to accelerate plans to install the banking supervisory squad in each member state. In Ireland they can start out in a small office in the back of the seanad and might as well take over the whole building when the seanad is abolished. By then their role will have expanded beyond all original intentions anyway and they’ll need the space. They’ll need to annex some office space in the Dail at that stage….That’s the european way.

    Reply
  • The EU budget is being debated now in Strasbourg, see it on the website. Over 85% of the one trillion budget goes back to member states directly by the way…

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  • Ok. Just a question but ah

    1. Isn’t there 27 countries in the EU?

    2. How does it cost Ireland €64 Billion a year?

    And the other countries live off €4,461,538,461.53 if the rest was divided by 26????????

    I think something’s wrong here, and definitely in Ireland????

    - What exactly is costing our country so much?

    http://www.change.org/petitions/supporting-the-irish-nation-step-down-from-government

    Reply
    • 1. Yes.

      2. It doesn’t cost Ireland €64 billion a year. Not including the whole bailout arrangement, Ireland contributed €1.34 bilion to the EU budget for 2012. We got about the same amount back, through various means. (It’s on page 9 of this document.

      I’m not sure where you got the €4.4 billion figure from, but you might be confusing GDP with national income. The two aren’t comparable, because GDP also includes income for private enterprise that has nothing to do with the State. Ireland’s total government income for 2012 is projected to be about €40 billion – that’s barely a quarter of GDP.

      Reply

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