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Dublin: 8 °C Thursday 23 May, 2013

Eurozone’s new bailout fund loses AAA credit rating

The European Stability Mechanism has been downgraded by Moody’s, following a similar drop for France.

ESM managing director Klaus Regling said he could not understand the rationale behind Moody's decision to strip the fund of its AAA status.
ESM managing director Klaus Regling said he could not understand the rationale behind Moody's decision to strip the fund of its AAA status.
Image: Ng Han Guan/AP

THE EUROZONE’S new permanent bailout fund has been stripped of its triple-A credit rating by the ratings agency Moody’s.

The agency last night brought its rating for the ESM down one notch, from the top-level AAA to AA1.

The downgrade follows a similar move for France, the fund’s second-largest contributor, which has also recently lost its AAA rating.

“Moody’s downgrade of France reflects the rating agency’s view that there has been a marginal diminution in the certainty that the sovereign will fulfil its financial obligations,” the agency said, explaining its moves.

“France is the second largest contributor to the two entities’ financial resources, as a provider of callable capital in the case of the ESM”.

The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), the previous bailout fund from which Ireland receives its bailout loans, was also downgraded – which could make it slightly more expensive for the EFSF to borrow money which it then lends to the Irish government.

“Moody’s rating decision is difficult to understand,” ESM managing director Klaus Regling said in a statement following the downgrade.

“We disagree with the rating agency’s approach which does not sufficiently acknowledge ESM’s exceptionally strong institutional framework, political commitment and capital structure.

“In its rating decision even Moody’s stresses the credit strengths of ESM and EFSF due to their low leverage and the creditworthiness of its Member States.

“This rating action does not inhibit ESM or EFSF in any way to act or emit.”

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Comments (24 Comments)

  • No real surprise considering the amount of faffing about the leaders of Europe engage in before coming to a decision. Lack of any leadership and kicking various cans down the road doesn’t instil confidence in anyone….

    Reply
  • We always hear about how much money this fund has but in reality it only has promises of money, it doesn’t actually have a penny to its name. It is asking the Spanish to give it something like 36bn. It is a complete joke.

    People are asking why the agencies should be trusted for this downgrade, the real question is why they have not graded the ESM as junk. It is relying on countries that have no cash to give it to fund a very large proportion of its money.

    It is just another EU/ECB can kicking that only allows the problems to grow. The EU couldn’t run a bath, sclerotic and failed behemoth.

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  • Who gives these agencies so much power… I wish they could be shut down!

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    • Freedom of speech/information… They are private entities that have built a reputation and are funded by other private companies who pay for their reports and recommendations on creditworthiness.

      To shut them down simply because it’s a truth you would rather remain in denial about amounts to fascism.

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    • To answer your question who gives them so much power… You do, you invest your money in a fund( say your pension) which is bound by a contract with the bank that they will take your money and generate returns for you, part of that contract is related to risk, you authorise them to take a certain degree of risk with your money… To ensure that the risk is quantified you both agree they can’t invest your money in ‘junk’ graded stocks and bonds. But who determines what is junk and what isn’t… You and the bank agree that the three credit agencies are the best qualified to do that

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    • Very plausible, Andrew.

      But the these star rating agencies endorsed the financial instrumentation of bundled split-derivative sub-prime mortgage packages in cahoots with the private bankers hedged to win on both sides of the cyclic scams of Wall St ‘players’.
      To question their infallibility as some paraclete of ‘truth’ is no more fascistic, as you call it, and probaly less so, than to accept unchewed their numerological Goebbeldigook of cooked stats.
      As for ‘..You and your bank..’..making that agreement…I think thats what they call a case of false conclusion from faulty premises, some being more equal than others in such deals. We are not too BIG to fail.

      Reply
    • i.e. I’m rating your comment as ZZZ…though most sonorously reassuring to the somnambulant feeders from the invisible hand of market largesse.

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  • Moody’s must have lots of clients who want to wager on the US Dollar.

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    • The US has a massive debt problem in its public finances, no doubt about that. It can keep printing to pay off if needs be, the Euro is not allowed do that. US private debt is falling rapidly and in a another year or two will be at low levels over all, U.S companies have record cash holdings at the moment. Unemployment is falling. With the advent of fracking in America it is going to return to being a leading energy producer. Gas, vital for so many industries has hit rock bottom levels, it is 5 times cheaper than Asia or Europe. It has a functioning and integrated economy, with a strong transfer union in place, wealth from the rich areas goes to the poorer areas.

      America love it or hate it has an incredible capacity to reinvent itself. The EU can’t even resolve a tiny little problem like Greece. Whatever the problems that America and the Dollar face they are not even remotely as worrying as Europe’s or the Euro currency’s ones.

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    • The US unfortuntely can not keep printing money as you suggest because at some point that debt will become unsustainable. Remember some of the agencies have already downgraded the US ratings because they believe it is unsustainable. At some point the US is going to have to scale back in its spending and that will cause major problems for its economy.

      And you’re very optimistic about the amount of energy the US is going to produce from fracking. There is no way the US is going to become a leading energy producer again.

      Reply
    • It certainly cannot print without end, it would indeed turn the currency to a confetti but it is doing a very good job of re-balancing its economy. Financial industry debt and household debt are rapidly heading back to levels of a decade ago. That will put the American economy on a very sound footing.

      The state debt can be worked on over years and inflation, as long as the man on the street is able to spend, invest and start new businesses then it will be fine. The problem here is that people in Europe are going to be bled dry for years to come paying off debt, their own and that of failed banks. That will destroy growth for years.

      Reply
    • If a state prints money it is not borrowing that money but creating it. While fracking may not be as lucrative as suggested reports yesterday show that US oil reserves surpass that of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations so from an energy point of view they are in good stead.

      These rating agencies are a problem that should be addressed tho. After the 2008 collapse every one of them stood before the US house committee investigating the collapse and defended their ratings of securities using the first amendment. In other words we could say whatever we want about securities because its our opinion. They didn’t take out stats and figures to defend their ratings, the first amendment was all they had by way of defence.

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    • Creating money is not the same thing as creating capital or wealth. It is an illusory wealth which benefits the politically anointed to the cost of the greater population. For examples look at Zimbabwe, Weirmar Germany and the closing chapter of Yugoslavia’s economy.

      Reply
  • “The wavelike movement affecting the economic system, the recurrence of periods of boom which are followed by periods of depression, is the unavoidable outcome of the attempts, repeated again and again, to lower the gross market rate of interest by means of credit expansion.

    There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.

    Ludwig von Mises

    Reply
  • This is very dissappointing. I believe we should not accept bailout money from anyone that hasnt a AAA rating!

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  • Michael 02/12/12 #

    The bonds are junk rating, let’s be honest here.

    “All fiat currencies eventually return to their intrinsic value — zero”

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  • 10 more years of European economic stagnation!

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  • The headline should read: “EU Loses Credibilty Rating”.

    Reply

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