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Dublin: 10 °C Thursday 20 June, 2013

Australian mining boom is “over”, says Minister

Anyone with “half a brain” knows the commodity price boom is finished, Martin Ferguson tells ABC radio.

The Australian flag at Melbourne cricket ground
The Australian flag at Melbourne cricket ground
Image: Jon Buckle/EMPICS Sport

AUSTRALIA’S MINING BOOM is “over”, the country’s mining minister said on Thursday, after the mining company BHP Billiton announced it was delaying a major project as China slowed and commodity prices fell.

Speaking to ABC radio, Martin Ferguson said that although Australia had done well from the boom, which has attracted thousands of Irish emigrants in search of work, things were set to get tougher.

“You’ve got to understand, the resources boom is over. We’ve done well – Aus$270 billion (US$283.6 billion) in investment – the envy of the world,” he said.

But “It has got tougher in the last six to 12 months. The commodity price boom is over and anyone with half a brain knows that.”

BHP, the world’s largest mining company, announced a 35 per cent drop in second half profits as it said it will be forced to shelve its $US30 billion Olympic mine expansion. The project would have created the world’s largest uranium mine. It comes on the back of several announcements from other companies such as Shell Oil, who are pulling investment from Australia.

Iron ore prices have fallen to their lowest level since 2009, as steelmakers in Europe curtail purchases and China’s economy slows. Making matters more challenging is the fact that Australia is not a cheap place to do business. According to Minerals Council of Australia chief executive Mitch Hooke in The Australian, in the highly competitive markets for coal, copper and nickel, more than half of Australia’s operating mines had costs above global averages.

“The cause is increased labour, energy and transport costs, and a high exchange rate,” he said. “While our capital project costs were previously globally competitive, they are now much higher than global averages. Even in iron ore, we have lost our operating cost advantage for all but established Pilbara projects.”

Some young people in Australia ‘giving Irish workers a bad name’>

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Comments (15 Comments)

  • I don’t wish it on them, but the cost of doin business has sky rocketed in Australia along with the cost of living and property prices. but if China slows any more its going to be difficult for the Aussies to keep it on the rails without them

    Reply
  • Read an article in the Irish times this morning saying that a couple of hundred thousand are urgently needed for mines out there… Go figure.
    OZ & NZ remind me of Ireland 8or9 years ago. Only my own opinion but I think a dip is on its way out there.
    Met a couple of kiwis that work in banks out there and they were fascinated with and struggled to understand negative equity.

    Reply
  • I quite agree Bilbo. Prices seem out of control here. But you don’t get the sense that anything catastrophic is going to happen. It will be interesting to see what happens if they go ahead with the abolition of the living away from home allowance. It will make it hard to get the money to stretch!

    Reply
  • if you check out the business supplement of today’s irish times it says the complete opposite…mmm

    Reply
  • Unlikely I think Ian with their interest rates as high as they are. You need really cheap money for that sort of boom to bust.

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    • That’s what confused me when I first arrived Robert but wouldn’t you think that the fact their property market is in a bubble with those high interest rates that it makes it even worse, the have less room to respond without either killing the market with a rise or fueling it further with a drop. Their high interest rate should have curbed their inflation and prop prices. It doesn’t seem to be the case

      Reply
    • They have plenty of room to adjust; theoretically, there is no upper interest rate limit.

      If inflation continues above the ideal 2%, then your interest rate simply isn’t high enough.

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    • London had a property bubble in the early 90′s with similar interest rates, the carbon taxes they insanely introduced this year ,are the reason for the slump in mining profits ,but it’s illegal to say that in Australia .

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    • Have been there Robert and contrary to all the obvious things they have a massive property bubble on their hands. It was scary to see

      Reply
  • I’d just be a little concerned that perhaps Australia hasn’t kept a lid on the cost of doing business there, the property market and on state current expenditure. If mining incomes fall, it could rapidly become unsustainable. You never see these things coming from inside the bubble. Ireland, Iceland, Spain, the US mortgage crisis .. etc etc etc

    Reply
  • tell Gina Rhinehart the mining boom is over….I think not! It’s probably more a case of it’s not making $5billion a day, only $4billion

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  • No its not. Company I work for just signed $100,000,000 contract with mining company APLNG. Looks like someone is trying to deter foreign workers coming over

    Reply
  • There are many comparisons with the UK Bubble for the early 90s.
    The only thing keeping a lid on inflation is the high Aussie Dollar price. The vast majority of products are imported.
    Australia had a chance to secure itself with the mining tax, but Labor caved in.
    Now they are extremely exposed on every level.

    Massive house prices v Salary
    Increasing national debt if the AUD falls in Value.
    High salaries is seeing many jobs sent overseas.
    Total reliance on one industry (the mining industry) to maintain the economy.
    Under educated population to allow for a Knowledge based economy.

    Reply

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